Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.