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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Jordan (42'), Martin (55'), Tenaglia (77'), Mourino (90+8')
Sanchez (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Camavinga (34')
Camavinga (80'), Vazquez (88'), Courtois (90+7'), Junior (90+5')
Mbappe (38')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid survive a first-half red card for Kylian Mbappe to record a 1-0 victory over Alaves in Sunday's La Liga contest.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how title challengers Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with relegation-threatened Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 0-1 Alaves
Saturday, April 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
21.78% (-0.16 -0.16) 24.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 54.02% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-0.109 -0.11)50.51% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-0.096 -0.1)72.43% (0.102 0.1)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (-0.219 -0.22)37.82% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.217 -0.22)74.6% (0.223 0.22)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39% (0.030999999999992 0.03)18.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.046000000000006 0.05)49.91% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 21.78%
    Real Madrid 54.01%
    Draw 24.19%
AlavesDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.78%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 11.83% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.95% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5.58% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.34% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 54.01%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves
14.9%
Draw
11.6%
Real Madrid
73.6%
121
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
3-2
Alaves
Vazquez (1'), Mbappe (40'), Rodrygo (48')
Valverde (4'), Junior (30'), Endrick (83'), Modric (90+6')
Benavidez (85'), Kike (86')
May 14, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
5-0
Alaves
Bellingham (10'), Junior (27', 70'), Valverde (45+1'), Guler (81')
Junior (52')

Duarte (50')
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

N'Diaye (48')
Aug 14, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (65' pen.)
Garcia (35')
Benzema (48', 62'), Nacho (56'), Junior (90+2')
Bale (53'), Courtois (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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