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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Valladolid logo
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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Real Madrid logo

Villarreal
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Foyth (7')
Cardona (50'), Foyth (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mbappe (17', 23')
Tchouameni (33')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid move to the top of the La Liga table courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Villarreal, with Kylian Mbappe hitting a brace for the capital giants.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash against Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Villarreal
Saturday, March 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Real Madrid (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Madrid
36.81% (-0.498 -0.5) 23.37% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 39.81% (0.576 0.58)
Both teams to score 63.82% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (0.356 0.36)37.8% (-0.355 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96% (0.379 0.38)60.04% (-0.379 -0.38)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)20.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)53.48% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.416 0.42)19.4% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (0.679 0.68)51.22% (-0.677 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 36.81%
    Real Madrid 39.81%
    Draw 23.37%
VillarrealDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 39.81%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Real Madrid

Villarreal
16.6%
Draw
13.2%
Real Madrid
70.2%
151
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
2-0
Villarreal
Valverde (14'), Junior (73')

Femenia (33')
May 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-4
Real Madrid
Sorloth (39', 48', 52', 56')
Moreno (45+5'), Traore (84'), Marcelino (90+1')
Guler (14', 45+2'), Joselu (30'), Vazquez (40')
Camavinga (66'), Ceballos (86')
Dec 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
4-1
Villarreal
Bellingham (25'), Rodrygo (37'), Diaz (64'), Modric (68')
Bellingham (67'), Tchouameni (83')
Luis Morales (54')
Altimira (67'), Akhomach (74'), Capoue (85')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
2-3
Villarreal
Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')
Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Villarreal
2-3
Real Madrid
Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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