Villarreal

1 - 2

Real Madrid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.