Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
23.53% (![]() | 26.76% (![]() | 49.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.56% (![]() | 58.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.97% (![]() | 79.03% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.4% (![]() | 40.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.8% (![]() | 77.2% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% (![]() | 23.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% (![]() | 57.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.53% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 9.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 13.84% 0-2 @ 9.98% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9% 0-3 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |