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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
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Girona logo
Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Villarreal

Sanchez (11')
Blanco (77'), Rodriguez Gimenez (90+1'), Diarra (90+2')
Sivera (58'), Blanco (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pino (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-2 Villarreal

Alaves have avoided defeat in two of their last three matches, but they will now be coming up against an excellent Villarreal outfit; we are expecting Saturday's game to be close in terms of the scoreline, but the Yellow Submarine should be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawVillarreal
23.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 26.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 49.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.56% (0.013000000000005 0.01)58.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.012 0.01)79.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (0.014999999999997 0.01)77.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 23.53%
    Villarreal 49.71%
    Draw 26.76%
AlavesDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 9.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9%
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.71%

How you voted: Alaves vs Villarreal

Alaves
16.3%
Draw
12.5%
Villarreal
71.3%
80
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Villarreal
3-0
Alaves
Akhomach (38'), Parejo (81' pen.), Comesana (90')
Cardona (45+2')

Guevara (62'), Martin (74'), Tenaglia (83')
Feb 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')
Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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