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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Villarreal

Sanchez (11')
Blanco (77'), Rodriguez Gimenez (90+1'), Diarra (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pino (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawVillarreal
23.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)26.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)49.71% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.56% (0.013000000000005 0.01)58.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97% (0.012 0.01)79.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8% (0.014999999999997 0.01)77.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 23.53%
    Villarreal 49.71%
    Draw 26.76%
AlavesDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 9.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 9.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 9%
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.71%

How you voted: Alaves vs Villarreal

Alaves
16.3%
Draw
12.5%
Villarreal
71.3%
80
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Villarreal
3-0
Alaves
Akhomach (38'), Parejo (81' pen.), Comesana (90')
Cardona (45+2')

Guevara (62'), Martin (74'), Tenaglia (83')
Feb 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
1-1
Villarreal
Omorodion (25')
Garcia (90+2')
Cuenca (42')
Cuenca (44'), Sorloth (71')
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Villarreal
1-1
Alaves
Moreno (65' pen.)
Pedraza (9'), Sorloth (23'), Femenia (35'), Comesana (58')
Omorodion (48')
Guevara (14'), Sivera (33'), Abqar (36')
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 34
Alaves
2-1
Villarreal
Laguardia (4'), Escalante (31')
Garcia (52'), Escalante (69'), Laguardia (80'), Duarte (90+2'), Jason (90+5')
Chukwueze (47')
Dia (41'), Capoue (76'), Emery (86')
Dec 21, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Villarreal
5-2
Alaves
Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')
Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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