La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 9, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
3 - 0
Alaves

Akhomach (38'), Parejo (81' pen.), Comesana (90')
Cardona (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guevara (62'), Martin (74'), Tenaglia (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Poblense 1-6 Villarreal
Tuesday, October 29 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Alaves
46.18% ( 0.37)	24.5% ( -0.16)	29.32% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37% (

0.59)

45.62% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05% (

0.56)

67.95% (

-0.56)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.14% (

0.4)

19.86% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.04% (

0.64)

51.96% (

-0.64)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

0.15)

28.96% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

0.18)

64.85% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 46.18%

Alaves 29.32%

Draw 24.5%

Villarreal	Draw	Alaves
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.32%