The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
| 20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
We said: Alaves 1-1 Villarreal
Alaves will certainly be the fresher of the two teams, which could count for a lot, especially in the second period, as Villarreal put so much into their clash with Liverpool. Alaves need wins rather than draws at this stage of the season, but they might just settle for a point on Saturday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Villarreal |
| 23.57% | 24.04% | 52.38% |
| Both teams to score 53.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
