| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Salford City | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Northampton Town | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Carlisle United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Swindon Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Hartlepool United | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | Stockport County | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 54.76% ( | 24.75% ( | 20.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( | 54.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.52% ( | 75.48% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( | 19.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.33% ( | 51.67% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( | 41.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.3% ( | 77.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 13.16% ( 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 63 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
| 7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
| 11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 |
| 13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
| 14 | Walsall | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 44 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
