| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Newport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 16 | Northampton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 17 | Rochdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Carlisle United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 5 | Colchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
| 6 | Crawley Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Colchester United has a probability of 28.17% and a draw has a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Colchester United win is 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.06%).
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Colchester United | 
| 43.66% (  -0.1) | 28.17% (  -0.05) | 28.17% (  0.15) | 
| Both teams to score 45.17% (  0.21) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.49% (  0.23) | 60.51% (  -0.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.37% (  0.17) | 80.62% (  -0.17) | 
| Northampton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.45% (  0.05) | 27.54% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.94% (  0.07) | 63.05% (  -0.07) | 
| Colchester United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.33% (  0.25) | 37.66% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.56% (  0.24) | 74.44% (  -0.24) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Northampton Town | Draw | Colchester United | 
| 1-0 @ 13.37% (  -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.62% (  -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.42% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.71% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.62% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.17% (  0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.37% (  -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.11% (  0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.12% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 4.95% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 2.08% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.61% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% (  0.02) Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.16% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 54 | 
| 5 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 | 
| 6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 | 
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 | 
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 | 
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 | 
| 12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 | 
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 | 
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 | 
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 37 | 
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 | 
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 37 | 
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 30 | 
| 21 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 27 | 
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 33 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 21 | 
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