Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
