Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Stockport County | 
| 23.6% ( | 27.1% | 49.3% ( | 
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.45% | 59.55% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.11% | 79.89% | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.84% ( | 41.16% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.3% ( | 77.7% ( | 
| Stockport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.32% ( | 58.68% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barrow | Draw | Stockport County | 
| 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.17% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.22% Total : 23.6%  | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.1%  | 0-1 @ 14.15% 0-2 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.29%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 77 | 
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 70 | 
| 3 | Stevenage | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 68 | 
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 66 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 64 | 
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 64 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 39 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 63 | 
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 61 | 
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 58 | 
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 57 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 51 | 
| 12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 39 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 51 | 
| 13 | Walsall | 39 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 | 
| 14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 | 
| 15 | Grimsby Town | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 48 | 
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 | 
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 45 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 44 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 44 | 
| 20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 | 
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 38 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 37 | 
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 35 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 29 | 
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