Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.