

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 36.04% | 24.09% ( | 39.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% | 41.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( | 63.83% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( | 22.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.41% ( | 56.59% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( | 20.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.33% | 53.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-1 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.78% Total : 39.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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