

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
| 49.77% ( | 23.42% ( | 26.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.57% ( | 42.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.17% ( | 64.83% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( | 17.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.56% ( | 47.44% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( | 29.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.96% ( | 65.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 5% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 26.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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