Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.