Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.