Ajaccio may have held their own with 10 men against a shot-shy Brest, but a Lille side out to right the wrongs of last weekend should encounter few roadblocks en route to a dominant win.
With Golden Boot chaser David spearheading Lille's prolific period of home form, we can only picture Fonseca's men remaining in control of their continental destiny, with a few goals along the way.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
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