Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 0-3 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
9.08% (![]() | 15.74% (![]() | 75.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.06% (![]() | 38.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.74% (![]() | 61.26% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.34% (![]() | 48.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.29% (![]() | 83.7% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.23% (![]() | 8.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.89% (![]() | 30.1% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 3.07% 2-1 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.48% 0-0 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 15.74% | 0-2 @ 12.63% 0-1 @ 10.38% 0-3 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.39% 0-4 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.5% 0-5 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.94% Total : 75.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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