Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Porto had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Porto |
51.93% (![]() | 22.32% (![]() | 25.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% (![]() | 38.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.55% (![]() | 60.45% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.13% (![]() | 14.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.79% (![]() | 43.21% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% (![]() | 27.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% (![]() | 63.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 4.12% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 10.07% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.47% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 3.73% Total : 25.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 71 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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