Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 6.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
82.04% (![]() | 11.7% (![]() | 6.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.81% (![]() | 29.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.8% (![]() | 50.2% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% (![]() | 5.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.17% (![]() | 20.83% (![]() |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.44% (![]() | 48.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.36% (![]() | 83.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
2-0 @ 11.09% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.87% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 82.03% | 1-1 @ 5.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.7% | 1-2 @ 1.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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