Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
| 6.5% ( | 12.63% ( | 80.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( | 33.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.95% ( | 55.05% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.96% ( | 51.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.63% ( | 85.37% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.69% ( | 6.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.26% ( | 23.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 2.17% ( 2-1 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.5% | 1-1 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 2-2 @ 2.78% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.63% | 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0-3 @ 11.32% 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 1-4 @ 5.26% ( 0-5 @ 4.32% ( 1-5 @ 2.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0-6 @ 1.99% ( 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 1-6 @ 1.34% ( 2-5 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 80.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 |
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
| 10 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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