Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica
1 - 0
Portimonense
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Benfica
Friday, December 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Benfica 2-0 Portimonense
Both teams will be keen to put aside their disappointing results last week and begin 2023 in positive fashion with a victory on Friday. Portimonense are sure to use last season's triumph at the Estadio da Luz as motivation for this contest, but we believe that Benfica will have too much quality for the visitors and should do enough to secure a routine win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Portimonense |
77.74% ( 0) | 13.76% ( -0.02) | 8.51% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
