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Estoril
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Benfica
Estoril
0 - 1
Benfica

Ndiaye (16'), Alvaro (39'), Mexer (79')
Geraldes (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Neres (66')
Neres (25')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-5 Benfica
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-5 Benfica
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 0-3 Benfica

While Estoril Praia will be looking to get one over Benfica, As Aguias head into the midweek clash firing on all cylinders and unbeaten in 29 consecutive games. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we anticipate that Benfica will come away with a comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.68%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 0-4 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
5.43% (0.104 0.1) 10.89% (0.119 0.12) 83.68% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 46.59% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.09% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)28.91% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.14% (-0.138 -0.14)49.86% (0.139 0.14)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.02% (0.268 0.27)50.98% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.67% (0.18 0.18)85.33% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.04% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)4.96% (0.059 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.16% (-0.175 -0.17)19.84% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 5.43%
    Benfica 83.67%
    Draw 10.89%
Estoril PraiaDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 1.72% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.7% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 5.43%
1-1 @ 5.11% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.59% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 10.89%
0-3 @ 11.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 11.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 8.58% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 7.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 5.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 5.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-5 @ 3.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.027 0.03)
0-6 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.95% (0.012 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-7 @ 1.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 83.67%

How you voted: Estoril vs Benfica

Estoril Praia
11.4%
Draw
2.9%
Benfica
85.7%
35
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
Mar 4, 2021 8.15pm
Benfica
2-0
Estoril
Ramos (43'), Waldschmidt (90')
Tavares (29'), Pizzi (30')

Thierry Lazare (15')
Feb 11, 2021 8.15pm
Estoril
1-3
Benfica
Vidigal (24')
Clovis (12'), Gomes (64')
Nunez (45', 78'), Seferovic (69')
Goncalves (8'), Otamendi (75'), Taarabt (82')
rhs 2.0
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