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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium
Pen-y-Bont
1 - 4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 30 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
19.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.23% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 57.49% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4% (-0.126 -0.13)49.6% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.113 -0.11)71.62% (0.114 0.11)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.09% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.9% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.43% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)76.57% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)17.01% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.1 -0.1)47.13% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 19.29%
    The New Saints 57.48%
    Draw 23.22%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 6.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.29%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 57.48%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Brobbel (90+1')
Redmond (56')

Owen (30')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Pen-y-Bont
1-2
New Saints
Ahmun (6')
Griffiths (28'), Rogers (83')
Brobbel (21', 57')
Davies (26'), Robles (81'), Astles (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints13112045103535
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay14102241162532
3Newtown AFCNewtown137242314923
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon147252826223
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU146441722-522
6Bala TownBala Town145541111020
7Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont135261720-317
8Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest143561526-1114
9Barry Town UnitedBarry143381526-1112
10Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd14338517-1212
11Colwyn Bay122281221-98
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth13229828-208

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