Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.