Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.