Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
