Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 14.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 2-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.