Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
