Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
