Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.