Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.