Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.46%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
