Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 63.18% ( | 20.57% ( | 16.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( | 43.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% ( | 65.5% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( | 13.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.46% ( | 39.54% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( | 39.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.69% ( | 76.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 3-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 5-1 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 34 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 16 |
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