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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Schalke
Hertha Berlin
2 - 1
Schalke
Tousart (49'), Kanga (88')
Kanga (75'), Rogel (81'), Lukebakio (90+1'), Richter (90+3'), Boetius (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mollet (85')
Polter (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Schalke 04

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 5-1 Schalke
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke 04

 We expect a closely-fought affair between two struggling sides, but we can envisage Hertha having enough quality to get over the line. The hosts are a much tighter defensive unit under Schwarz, with their pace and quality in transition likely to hurt Schalke, who appear to be in need of major surgery in the January transfer window. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hertha Berlin in this match.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawSchalke 04
42.32% (0.275 0.27) 24.6% (-0.176 -0.18) 33.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 58.43% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (0.781 0.78)44.47% (-0.782 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (0.753 0.75)66.84% (-0.754 -0.75)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.459 0.46)21.09% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (0.711 0.71)53.91% (-0.712 -0.71)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.31399999999999 0.31)25.95% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.423 0.42)60.96% (-0.425 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 42.32%
    Schalke 04 33.08%
    Draw 24.6%
Hertha BerlinDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.073 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.08%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Schalke

Hertha Berlin
80.3%
Draw
11.5%
Schalke 04
8.2%
61
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 5pm
Schalke
1-2
Hertha Berlin
Harit (6')
Harit (43'), Mustafi (54'), Kolasinac (68')
Boyata (19'), Ngankam (74')
Darida (50'), Lukebakio (67'), Boyata (68'), Michelbrink (90+1')
Lukebakio (89')
Jan 2, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-0
Schalke
Guendouzi (36'), Cordoba (52'), Piatek (80')
Tousart (14'), Guendouzi (51')

Hoppe (37'), Mascarell (58')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Schalke
3-2
Hertha Berlin
Caligiuri (76'), Harit (82'), Raman (115')
Harit (64'), Raman (80'), Miranda (105'), Oczipka (111')
Nubel (102')
Kopke (12'), Piatek (39')
Torunarigha (85'), Ciljan Skjelbred (103')
Torunarigha (100')
Jan 31, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Mittelstadt (91')

Oczipka (71')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
3-0
Hertha Berlin
Stark (38' og.), Rekik (48' og.), Kenny (85')
Mascarell (52')

Ibisevic (40')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
> Bundesliga Full Table
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