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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Monaco
Lille
4 - 3
Monaco
Alexsandro (22'), Cabella (39', 62'), Bamba (71')
Bamba (50')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Henrique (34'), Disasi (44'), Ben Yedder (53')
Matazo (21'), Badiashile (58')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Lille
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, October 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Monaco

 Monaco would be foolish not to take full advantage of Andre and Fonte's absences this weekend, as losing two integral cogs of Fonseca's well-oiled machine certainly spells danger for the hosts. An in-form David is more than capable of troubling the Monaco backline on his own, but Clement's side have been an incredibly tough nut to crack on the road, and we expect the two managers to shake hands on a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMonaco
43% (-0.39 -0.39) 25.28% (0.189 0.19) 31.71% (0.195 0.19)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.01% (-0.762 -0.76)47.99% (0.757 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.84% (-0.706 -0.71)70.16% (0.699 0.7)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.508 -0.51)22.26% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.765 -0.77)55.7% (0.761 0.76)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.47% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)28.53% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (-0.315 -0.31)64.31% (0.31 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Lille 43%
    Monaco 31.71%
    Draw 25.28%
LilleDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.155 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.194 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Lille vs Monaco

Lille
34.6%
Draw
24.1%
Monaco
41.4%
133
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 8pm
Lille
1-2
Monaco
Gomes (69')
Celik (39'), Fonte (51'), Andre (87'), Bamba (90')
Tchouameni (42', 75')
Ben Yedder (66')
Nov 19, 2021 8pm
Monaco
2-2
Lille
Diatta (41'), Ben Yedder (83')
Pavlovic (3'), Fofana (84')
Pavlovic (78')
David (5' pen., 9')
Celik (7'), David (37'), Yazici (68'), Weah (73'), Niasse (85')
Mar 14, 2021 4.05pm
Monaco
0-0
Lille

Tchouameni (16'), Disasi (51'), Sidibe (82')

Sanches (35'), Andre (83'), Araujo (83')
Dec 6, 2020 12pm
Lille
2-1
Monaco
David (53'), Yazici (65')
Djalo (64'), Soumare (90+2'), Weah (90+2')
Pellegri (90')
Mar 20, 2020 7.45pm
Lille
P-P
Monaco
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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