Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.