Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
| 48.71% | 25.64% | 25.65% |
| Both teams to score 50.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% | 52.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% | 74.37% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% | 21.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.19% | 54.81% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% | 35.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.71% | 72.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Marseille | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Lorient | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Lens | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Rennes | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Lyon | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Lille | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Clermont | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Troyes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Nice | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | NantesNantes | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Reims | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 | Brest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 |
| 19 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Ajaccio | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
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