Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Casa Pia |
40.05% (![]() | 27.28% (![]() | 32.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% (![]() | 55.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23% (![]() | 77.01% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% (![]() | 27.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% (![]() | 62.78% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% (![]() | 31.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% (![]() | 68.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.29% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 40 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 38 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
10 | Vizela | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 32 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 16 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 15 |
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