| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 | 
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 5 | -9 | 0 | 
| 18 | Maritimo | 5 | -12 | 0 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Boavista | 5 | -2 | 9 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 8 | 
| 9 | Chaves | 6 | -1 | 8 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Casa Pia | 
| 41.85% (  0.07) | 26.86% (  0.07) | 31.29% (  -0.13) | 
| Both teams to score 50.37% (  -0.27) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.39% (  -0.32) | 54.61% (  0.32) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.05% (  -0.27) | 75.95% (  0.27) | 
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.24% (  -0.11) | 25.76% (  0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.3% (  -0.15) | 60.7% (  0.15) | 
| Casa Pia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.85% (  -0.26) | 32.16% (  0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.36% (  -0.3) | 68.64% (  0.3) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Casa Pia | 
| 1-0 @ 11.23% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.62% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 3.91% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% (  -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 12.74% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 8.28% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 4.9% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.4% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 7.23% (  -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.33% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.02% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.29% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 | 
| 2 | Porto | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 54 | 
| 3 | Braga | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 52 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 40 | 
| 6 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 | 
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 | 
| 8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 | 
| 9 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 29 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 27 | 
| 12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 26 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 | 
| 17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 15 | 
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 12 | 
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