| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Famalicao | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 5 | -12 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boavista.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 47.32% ( | 26.74% ( | 25.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.32% ( | 56.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% ( | 77.64% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( | 23.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.79% ( | 58.21% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( | 37.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.79% ( | 74.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 59 |
| 2 | Porto | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 14 | 35 | 51 |
| 3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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