

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Boavista | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Benfica | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Portimonense | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 14.79% ( | 20.28% ( | 64.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 50% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( | 44.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.46% ( | 42.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.1% ( | 78.9% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( | 12.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.5% ( | 39.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.72% ( 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 3-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.79% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.2% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.28% | 0-2 @ 11.51% ( 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0-3 @ 7.83% ( 1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0-4 @ 4% ( 1-4 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 1-5 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 64.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Casa Pia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Vizela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | ChavesChaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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