| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Benfica | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Boavista | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Boavista |
| 37.04% ( | 28.52% ( | 34.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.61% ( | 80.39% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( | 31.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.47% ( | 67.53% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( | 32.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.56% ( | 69.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
| 3 | Braga | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 46 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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