| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sporting Lisbon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 55.64% ( | 23.81% ( | 20.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( | 50.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( | 72.31% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( | 17.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.21% ( | 48.79% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61% ( | 39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.27% ( | 75.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% ( 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0-0 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
| 2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
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