Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
