| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Pacos de Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Boavista | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 40.56% ( | 28.3% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.03% ( | 59.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.79% ( | 80.21% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( | 28.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.12% ( | 64.88% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.93% ( | 35.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.18% ( | 71.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
| 2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 24 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
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