Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.
