

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Porto | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Benfica | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
| 13.1% ( | 19.35% ( | 67.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( | 44.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( | 66.69% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.2% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.22% ( | 80.77% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( | 12.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.28% | 37.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.36% ( 2-1 @ 3.7% ( 2-0 @ 1.75% ( 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 3-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.1% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.35% | 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0-3 @ 8.5% ( 1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0-4 @ 4.48% ( 1-4 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 1-5 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 67.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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