Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
47.32% | 27.99% | 24.68% |
Both teams to score 43.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.28% | 61.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.47% | 81.53% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% | 26.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% | 61.33% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.61% | 41.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.1% | 77.89% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 14.52% 2-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.58% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.92% Total : 47.32% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.21% Total : 24.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 59 |
2 | Porto | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 14 | 35 | 51 |
3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 29 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
11 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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