Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 5.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.51%) and 1-0 (11.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista | 
| 80.86% | 13.3% | 5.85% | 
| Both teams to score 38.88% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.05% | 39.95% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.68% | 62.32% | 
| Sporting Lisbon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.28% | 7.72% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.5% | 27.5% | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 42.14% | 57.86% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.48% | 89.52% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista | 
| 2-0 @ 14.65% 3-0 @ 12.51% 1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.02% 4-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-1 @ 4.38% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.87% 6-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 80.84% | 1-1 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.47% 2-2 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.3% | 0-1 @ 2.45% 1-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 1.69% Total : 5.85% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 | 
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 | 
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 | 
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 | 
| 8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 | 
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 | 
| 10 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 | 
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 | 
| 12 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 | 
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 | 
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 | 
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