Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.42%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
