Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 38.39% | 28% | 33.61% |
| Both teams to score 47.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% | 58.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% | 79.01% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% | 29.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.5% | 65.49% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% | 32.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.96% | 69.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
